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After following this course, students should be able to
·
evaluate and reflect upon empirical studies using financial markets data
·
apply basic econometric methods in analyzing prices and returns from financial markets
·
generalize the results from empirical analyses to financial market theories
Empirical finance uses statistical and econometric methods to analyze observed prices and returns in financial markets. This includes, among other things, the estimation of expected returns on stocks, bonds and foreign exchange, tests of return predictability, the modeling of risk and risk-premia, performance evaluation of mutual funds, the determination of stock prices based on economic fundamentals (earnings, dividends, interest rates, etc.), the reaction of investors to news (including dividends and earnings announcements), the relation between prices on different assets, including the term structure of interest rates (the relation between interest rates on bonds with different maturities) and international interest rate parities.
COURSE SUBJECT AREAS:
1.
The efficient markets hypothesis
2.
Return predictability, variance ratio tests
3.
Tests of CAPM, APT and the Fama & French 3-factor model
4.
Performance evaluation of mutual funds
5.
Event studies
6.
Stock prices: tests of present value models, variance bounds tests
7.
Tests of consumption-based asset pricing models, the Equity Premium Puzzle
8.
Behavioural finance and anomalies
9.
The bond market and the term structure of interest rates, tests of the expectations hypothesis
10.
The foreign exchange market: tests of purchasing power parity, covered interest rate parity, and uncovered interest rate parity
11.
Market risk: measuring Value-at-Risk
Econometrics (5.semester). Students are supposed to have some experience with at least one econometrics software program.
Lectures, and exercises based on data from the financial markets.
English
Cuthbertson, K. & D. Nitzsche: Quantitative Financial Economics: Stocks, Bonds & Foreign Exchange. 2.edition, 2004. John Wiley & Sons. Approx. 550 pages
Various journal articles. Approx. 200 pages
Lecture notes. Approx. 300 pages
Approx. 1050 pages in total
Written 4-hour exam.
EXAMINATION AIDS ALLOWED: None.